Hilton Head Life

Odds/Probabilities of Major Hurricane

The table below shows the probabilities of any major hurricane with winds over 111 mph passing within 80 miles of the cities below in any one year:

Odds/Probabilities of Major Hurricane

Rank	Location	Major Hurricane
1	Portland, Maine	0.3%
2	Ocean City, MD	0.9%
3	Atlantic City, NJ	1.2%
4	Hilton Head, SC	1.3%
5	Boston, MA	1.3%
6	Virginia, Beach, VA	1.3%
7	New York City	1.6%
8	Jacksonville, FL	1.9%
9	Brownsville, TX	2.2%
10	Charleston, SC	2.2%
11	Corpus Christi, TX	2.3%
12	Myrtle Beach, SC	2.6%
13	Providence, RI	2.9%
14	Biloxi, MS	3.0%
15	Mobile, AL	3.0%
16	New Orleans	3.2%
17	Nantucket, MA	3.2%
18	Panama City, FL	3.7%
19	Cape Canaveral, FL	3.9%
20	Galveston, TX	4.2%
21	Tampa, FL	4.8%
22	Cape Hatteras, NC	5.3%
23	Fort Myers, FL	5.6%
24	Key West, FL	7.7%
25	Miami, FL	11.1%

Data from Hurricane Watch by Dr. Bob Sheets/Jack Williams.

Odds/Probabilities of Any Hurricane

The table below shows the probabilities of any hurricane passing within 80 miles of the cities below in any one year:

Odds/Probabilities of Any Hurricane

Rank	Location	Any Hurricane
1	Portland, Maine	2.9%
2	Ocean City, MD	4.2%
3	Atlantic City, NJ	4.8%
4	Boston, MA	5.9%
5	New York City	6.3%
6	Virginia, Beach, VA	6.7%
7	Corpus Christi, TX	6.7%
8	Hilton Head, SC	7.1%
9	Brownsville, TX	7.1%
10	Jacksonville, FL	9.1%
11	Charleston, SC	10.0%
12	Myrtle Beach, SC	10.0%
13	Providence, RI	10.0%
14	Biloxi, MS	10.0%
15	Mobile, AL	10.0%
16	New Orleans	12.5%
17	Nantucket, MA	12.5%
18	Panama City, FL	14.3%
19	Cape Canaveral, FL	14.3%
20	Galveston, TX	14.3%
21	Tampa, FL	17.5%
22	Fort Myers, FL	17.5%
23	Key West, FL	19.6%
24	Cape Hatteras, NC	21.3%
25	Miami, FL	26.3%

Data from Hurricane Watch by Dr. Bob Sheets/Jack Williams.