Odds/Probabilities of Any Hurricane
The table below shows the probabilities of any hurricane passing within 80 miles of the cities below in any one year:
| Rank | Location |
Any Hurricane
|
|
1
|
Portland, Maine | 2.9% |
|
2
|
Ocean City, MD | 4.2% |
|
3
|
Atlantic City, NJ | 4.8% |
|
4
|
Boston, MA | 5.9% |
|
5
|
New York City | 6.3% |
|
6
|
Virginia, Beach, VA | 6.7% |
|
7
|
Corpus Christi, TX | 6.7% |
|
8
|
Hilton Head, SC | 7.1% |
|
9
|
Brownsville, TX | 7.1% |
|
10
|
Jacksonville, FL | 9.1% |
|
11
|
Charleston, SC | 10.0% |
|
12
|
Myrtle Beach, SC | 10.0% |
|
13
|
Providence, RI | 10.0% |
|
14
|
Biloxi, MS | 10.0% |
|
15
|
Mobile, AL | 10.0% |
|
16
|
New Orleans | 12.5% |
|
17
|
Nantucket, MA | 12.5% |
|
18
|
Panama City, FL | 14.3% |
|
19
|
Cape Canaveral, FL | 14.3% |
|
20
|
Galveston, TX | 14.3% |
|
21
|
Tampa, FL | 17.5% |
|
22
|
Fort Myers, FL | 17.5% |
|
23
|
Key West, FL | 19.6% |
|
24
|
Cape Hatteras, NC | 21.3% |
|
25
|
Miami, FL | 26.3% |
Data from Hurricane Watch by Dr. Bob Sheets/Jack Williams.
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