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Odds/Probabilities of Major Hurricane

The table below shows the probabilities of any major hurricane with winds over 111 mph passing within 80 miles of the cities below in any one year:

Odds/Probabilities of Major Hurricane
Rank Location
Major Hurricane
1
Portland, Maine 0.3%
2
Ocean City, MD 0.9%
3
Atlantic City, NJ 1.2%
4
Hilton Head, SC 1.3%
5
Boston, MA 1.3%
6
Virginia, Beach, VA 1.3%
7
New York City 1.6%
8
Jacksonville, FL 1.9%
9
Brownsville, TX 2.2%
10
Charleston, SC 2.2%
11
Corpus Christi, TX 2.3%
12
Myrtle Beach, SC 2.6%
13
Providence, RI 2.9%
14
Biloxi, MS 3.0%
15
Mobile, AL 3.0%
16
New Orleans 3.2%
17
Nantucket, MA 3.2%
18
Panama City, FL 3.7%
19
Cape Canaveral, FL 3.9%
20
Galveston, TX 4.2%
21
Tampa, FL 4.8%
22
Cape Hatteras, NC 5.3%
23
Fort Myers, FL 5.6%
24
Key West, FL 7.7%
25
Miami, FL 11.1%

Data from Hurricane Watch by Dr. Bob Sheets/Jack Williams.

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